Football World Cup 2018 Predictions: Germany vs Brazil in the final, and more

Looking ahead to the FIFA World Cup that kicks off this month (14th June), we have created the official KDnuggets predictions.
By Dan Clark, KDnuggets.
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The 2018 FIFA World Cup is fast approaching, with the opening match between hosts Russia and Saudi Arabia kicking off the action on the 14th June.

Being a fanatical fan, I decided to do some
Fig. 1: 2018 FIFA World Cup, predictions from 4 popular sources

Fifa 2018 World Cup Kdnuggets Predictions

Fig. 2: KDnuggets Predictions, Z-score

And the below shows how the World Cup brackets will turn out, if the KDnuggets predictions are correct:

World Cup KDnuggets brackets

Conclusions

The results brought up some interesting takeaways:

  • Germany come out on top, but only slightly ahead of Brazil. Following them there’s a slight gap, before Spain and France complete the top 4.
  • The Elo ranking system and the betting odds appear the most similar, both naming an identical top five (the four mentioned above and Argentina).
  • A few stark contrasts across the system, most notably Peru who rank 10th for z-scores in both the FIFA and Elo rankings, despite being 30th for TrasferMarkt team value.
  • Highlighting the FIFA world ranking system drawbacks are Russia, who are 12th favourite with the bookmakers, but the second lowest ranked side overall according to their system, only ahead of Saudi Arabia. Like Brazil four years ago, Russia’s ranking will be falling due to their host nation duties at this summer’s tournament and thus their inactivity in the European qualifying stages.
  • Saudi Arabia come out on bottom, ranking last for each system, bar TransferMarkt team value, who have Panama slightly below.

Other predictions

See below for a collection of other predictions ahead of the World Cup:

The Telegraph have an extensive analysis into each team, with a poll at the end to let readers have their say on who will lift the trophy.

Telegraph World Cup predictions

Sporting life has not only attempted to calculate who will win the tournament, but they’ve also gone through each country and predicted at what stage they will leave the tournament.

Sporting Life World Cup predictions

And finally, both CBS Sports and Huffington Post have produced handy articles on who American Soccer fans should be rooting for this summer, following the US team’s elimination last year.

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